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lunes, 2 de enero de 2012

USD CAD - US Dollar Canadian Dollar

The Canadian dollar popularly known amongst traders as well as non-traders as CAD, is signified by $; It is the official and government certified currency pertaining to Canada. It’s also called by a slang name - buck, just like Americans call their dollar by the same name. Later on in around 1996, as two dollar coin was introduced in the economy the French slang Loonie also became a popular term for Canadian currency.

The currency has been shortened with the Dollar/Peso sign $, or sometimes is even referred to as C$ standing for Canadian Dollar which helps to give it a logical and unique identity which also helps people to be able to tell it apart from other countries and currencies where dollar is the official mode of exchange. Canadian Dollar is made of 100 cents. Until the year 2007, the Canadian dollar coveted 7th most seventh highest exchangeable money worldwide. The currencies which are ahead of Canadian dollar are the Swiss franc, Japanese Yen, the Euro, US dollar, the yen, GBP- the pound sterling, and the Australian dollar.

Earlier the currency in circulation throughout Canada was the Canadian pound which went on to become Canadian dollar in the due course due to political and economic reasons and pressures. Until 1841 Canadian Dollar was not even considered. Approximately 5 years and later for the next few years various discussions were taking place at all levels which revolved around adopting dollar as the official currency. Especially the local Canadian residents were in favour of adopting dollar in the place of pound because they were aspiring to gain from trades with the US which was their neighbour country with high economic growth and a fast prospering country.

Canadian population was very keen to take on board the Canadian currency with the American unit, however the authority at the helm that resided and governed from London were not really in favour of it and were keen to carry the same old currency, i.e. the pound sterling to be the singly and only mode of exchange all through the British Empire. Immediately after 1850, i.e. in the beginning of 1851, the Canadian Legislative Council along with Assembly of Canada voted for an amendment or an act with an intention of pioneering or launching a pound sterling unit in combination with fractional coinage that was decimalized. The thought or motive behind taking this step was that the decimal coins would equate in valued to the exact amounts vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar coinage that was suppose to be fractional. The people sitting in London who controlled the fiscal decisions however declined to consent and raised objections on technical arguments. This was the last time that the authorities at the helm in London ever enquired or asked for explanation about Canada’s internal jurisdiction.

During 1851 to bring the debate - revolving around adopting Sterling System and decimal monetary system according to US dollar - to its logical and mutually agreeable conclusion, both the Canadian Legislative Council as well as Assembly in Canada passed an act. The same was passed with an aim that the decimal coins would match up to an accurate amount vis-à-vis the US dollar coins.

Finally in 1853, a law passed by the Legislative Council and Assembly of Canada, brought gold standard in Canada, that was based on both the British gold severeign and the American gold eagle coinage.

As per the 1853 act the coins were not introduced in the Canadian economy. During this course Sterling coins were a more of exchange that got officiated and legalized and rest of the silver coins were scrapped or demonetized to be precise. The British government permitted decimal coinage in principal but did not stop hoping that their sterling would be finally chosen and be conferred upon the regal title of ‘royal’. Around 1856 and 1857 it was decided that in combination with the monetary unit of the U.S, the dollar a decimal coinage would be launched in Canada.

As a result of this act being passed, approved, and applauded by public of Canada, the new decimal coins came into the economy and market in 1858, and finally Canadian currency got to align with the U.S. Dollar.

In 1867 Canada, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia decided to come under one umbrella by way of a coalition and called it Dominion of Canada. As a result currencies of these three provinces became one.

Prince Edward Island, before becoming a part of the Dominion of Canada, in its 70th year, took on decimalization within the U.S. dollar unit and it was around the same time that 1¢ coinages were also introduced/floated in the market.

Fed Government decided to intervene in 1871 and passed Uniform Currency Act, as a result of which different currencies of different regions were replaced with one single common currency through out Dominion of Canada and it was duly called Canadian Dollar, and was represented by C$.

Earlier gold standardization was the adopted standard and currencies were measured against gold reserves. However during World War-I, situations called for a change and gold standardization was done away with for good. This happened around 1933. Then at the time of 2nd World War until around 1950s, Canadian dollar’s exchange rate continued to revolve around 1.1 against 1 USD.

For next few years, i.e. starting from 1950 until 70s, Canada continued to oscillate between fixed and floating rate of exchange. Same happened with the Canadian coins too. They also underwent several changes vis-à-vis everything starting from - shape & design, material used, to denomination. Finally by 1968 silver coins were withdrawn from market as legal mode of exchange for good. And during the same year 50 ¢ and $1 coins in nickel pure came into circulation.

Canadian coins are minted at the Royal Canadian Mint situated in Winnipeg Manitoba. At present they are issued in 1, 5, 10, 25 cents, 50¢, one dollar and 2 dollar coins. Fifty cent coins are very much there but not used too often. They have become more of a collection item and not too commonly used in everyday buying and selling and other transactions. Since they are not popular many a times authorities have also contemplated abolishing or discontinuing the coin from being circulated. Removing it from circulation will save the Royal Canadian Mint its making cost. The making of Canadian penny comes to at least C$ one hundred and thirty million every year to remain in circulation incessantly, unhindered.

After abandoning gold standards in 1931, during 1935 the Bank of Canada was formed & issued its first bank note series on March 11th. This was the year when Canada started printing its own banknotes too. The new body took over control from Dominion of Canada which till then had been looking after issuance of banknotes.

This body issued banknotes in the denomination of $1 to $500 and $1000 with $2, $5, $10, $20, $25, $50, and $100 banknotes in between. Two years later in 1937 a new series coinages were launched.

Finally during 1944, an act was passed and the licensed banks were prohibited from releasing their own currency, with the Royal Bank of Canada having released the last bank notes that were issued by any of the chartered banks.

Noteworthy changes in the design of currency notes or Canadian dollar bills have also taken place from time to time since 1935 till as recently as 2001. The next series of next in series of newly designed bills or notes will be introduced in the market sometime in 2011. The design is revealed to the public only at the time of official launch of the notes. All currency notes that are officially circulated in Canadian economy are presently printed under the direct supervision and control of the Canadian Bank Note Company along with BA Int. Inc. And this is done under contractual conformity with the Bank of Canada.

Legal Tender

Canadian dollar, released by the Bank of Canada are official mode of exchange within the country. But it may be noted that business-related dealings and contracts are also allowed to be lawfully brought to close in any approach which is mutually decided and approved of by people involved in it. It may also be taken note of that the official mode of exchange of Canadian coinage is administered by the Currency Act which outlines the limits.

Sometimes there have also been instances when the traders or merchants in Canada have declined to accept bank notes and by doing this they are not even considered breaking the governing law. Going by the legal set of guiding lines, the manner of payment is something that has got to be mutually agreed upon by the people involved in the transactions. A convenience or a daily need store have a right to decline from accepting a hundred dollar banknote if they feel that the note could be forged or an in genuine note and it could put them in legal trouble that could also result in loss of time and money. However, there is an official policy according to which it is for the retailers to evaluate the impact and keep the consequences of that approach at the forefront before taking a stand. In a situation where there is no mutually agreed upon or a predefined mode or method of payment for the tender, they are advised to seek legal advice.

Official tender that is in circulation in Canada, i.e. the Canadian dollars - are sometimes even accepted by select businesses in the cities in the US in the north along with in several what are known as Canadian snowbird enclaves. It is same situation where the USD is accepted by select businesses based in Canada.

Value of Canadian Dollars

The Canadian dollar followed floating exchange rate from 1950 to 1962. From 1952 till ‘60, the currency was bought and sold at a slight premium over the U.S. dollar, and during this time it also managed to reach a high point of 1.0613-14 United States Dollar as at the end of third week of August 20, during 1957.

Then came 1960, and the year saw the Canadian currency take a considerable hit after this phase, and this finally lead to election defeat of the then Prime Minister John Diefenbaker. This was 1963 election time. The Canadian dollar saw a come back to its fixed exchange rate management during ‘62 and its value was decided at US$0.925. It remained unmoved and stable on this position until 1970. And then came inflation, and to fight the overall rise in the cost of living, the Canadian dollar shifted its floating exchange rate again in 1970. And this time round it saw an upgrade in its value and it was valued more than the U.S. dollar and enjoyed a pretty good innings during the 1970s. The peak came on 25th April in 1974, when the Canadian dollar t was equalled to US$1.0443.

Again the Canadian currency went downhill against its American counterpart at the time of technological boom in the1990s and this was the time when CAD traded for a mere 61.79¢ USD. This was 21.1.2002, which was the all-time low that CAD had experienced since its inception. Since then, Canadian dollar has been growing in value consistently has been doing reasonably well against all major currencies of the world. This has been possible mainly due to high prices for commodities, with special reference to oil that Canada supplies to various nations across the globe.

The CAD’s value as compared to the U.S. dollar went up quite a bit during 2007 because of the sustained potency of the economy in Canada along with the other reason comprising the U.S. currency’s limitations and its failure in the world market platform. During 2007 in September Canadian Dollar for the first time met the U.S. greenback at equivalence after November 25, 1976. Inflation was fairly low since 1990 which impacted value of Canadian dollar adversely for a long length of time. During 2007 the Canadian dollar saw an extraordinary bounce back, and it soared 23% in value.

First time in the history of 30 years finally in 2007 in September, the Canadian dollar saw its peak against the U.S. dollar at 1.0052, from where it went on to see a hit at US$1.1024 at the time of trading, and again witnessed a high recently after China made an official announcement that it would branch out its approx 1.44 trillion United States Dollar reserve from the U.S. dollar. However November saw the Canadian dollar come at same level with the value of the U.S. dollar, and in December the dollar had moved back to 0.98 United States Dollar, with reducing rate of interest rates implemented by the Bank of Canada because of their apprehension vis-à-vis its exports to the U.S. Canadian dollar went on to gain fame and Time magazine conferred the recognition of Canadian Newsmaker of the Year for 2007.

The Bank of Canada has hardly taken steps where Forex is concerned since 1998 with an objective of manipulating the value of Canadian dollar. However the institution is positioned in a way that if it decides to intervene, it can help CAD arrive at a value.

History substantiates the claim that on the world market platform the Canadian dollar has demonstrated a tendency that it moves hand in hand with the U.S. dollar. Since the 70s, Canadian dollar has been acknowledged as a global reserve currency. This is the time during which the currency was floated against major global currencies.

In last few years however CAD has seen some dramatic ups and downs in value which have time and again correlated with movement in prices of oil, as Canada happens to take lion’s share where oil export sector is concerned.

Because of the fundamental soundness that the Canadian Economy displays, CAD by many South American and Central Banks is considered a yardstick and a reserve currency. So much so that in the American economy, the Canadian dollar is conferred the same status that the Australian Dollar is given in the Asia Pacific province.

Canada has played an important role in restructuring finance and funding structures of Dutch, Caribbean, British, and French state economies.

Trading focusing on trading USD CAD, besides keeping an eye on exchange rate should try and dig a bit deeper for better understanding of the value of Canadian dollar against American dollar; the way it affects both the countries; the way it impacts Canadian residents; their spending curve, etc.

The increasing value of the Canadian dollar is not really a good sign for its exports. Because people who are placing orders for in Canadian goods and services, will have to pay more for them. As increased value will pinch the exporter harder he will be bound to place fewer orders which would impact income of nation adversely.

Let’s first consider the consequences faced by Canadian companies that export various goods and services and supply stuff to the United States. When we observe various business deals happening between The US and Canada we will observe that, when all the various situations remains unchanged, a rise in the value of the Canadian Dollar or on the contrary when the value of the U.S. Dollar takes a hit results in decreasing or slowing down of sales for the Canadian manufacturer which is not a good sign, or lower revenue for every sale, which again is not a very good news. The situation when considered from the other end is quite fair for Canadians who call for goods and stuff from the US.

Importing to Canada - If US dollar weakens, it is a favourable situation for Canadian imports. In Dollar-Weak situation, Canadians placing orders for buying goods from US will be required to pay less.

When the dollar is showing signs of weakening it benefits companies with foreign competitors because competitors’ goods become more expensive. When dollar weakens, another fall out may be seen in the form of rise in rate of interest. This happens because investors demand higher rates to be able to compensate against the added currency risk.

Now imagine a situation when the rate of exchange is at par, $50 American is the same as 50 Canadian dollars. In this kind of situation Canadian merchants are in a position to place orders for U.S. goods for half the price of what they were paying earlier. This is good thing for Canadian merchants, as well as Canadian end users, because as a result of this favourable exchange rate, it is likely that part of savings will be shared with the consumer. This situation is also good news for manufacturers in America, as with this new turn, possibility of Canadian merchants to buy their goods increases, resulting in improved sales, and this entire situation has come alive because one is getting the same 100 American Dollar for every sale as they were getting earlier. The profit margin thus improves tremendously.

The above explanation discusses primary and direct impacts but however leaves out the other, that is the secondary impacts that the fluctuating rate of exchange may have, but this should help traders to clearly understand how the thing impacts exporters and importers. When value of currency goes up it hurts exporters because rise in value raises the costs of their goods in that they want to order from foreign countries. But position of importers gets better off when the cost of foreign goods has declined. When all other situations remain unchanged, an upward swing in currency value will make the imports rise and exports take a dive.

Canadian Economy & Factors Influencing the Exchange Rate of Canadian Dollar

Canada is at 14th position when we talk about large and prosperous economies. Its official legal tender is called the Canadian dollar, represented by CAD. In foreign exchange trade, it is also referred to as the Loonie. It is counted amongst major currencies. It is also called the “commodity” currency for a simple reason that the economy of Canada depends a great deal on exports of oil and other commodities. For people who are trading currencies as CAD being part of the pair then it becomes imperative for them to keep a watch on news and announcements coming out of Canada and released by Govt authorities.

Factors that might impact the currency and currency pair as a result traders should keep a watch on overnight rate changes in Bank of Canada; Change in Rate of Employment & Unemployment; Consumer as well as Producer price index represented by CPI and PPI respectively; another important factor influencing the exchange rate of CAD comprises Gross domestic product; Commerce or Trade balance; and Purchases of foreign investment or securities.

This currency is issued by the Bank of Canada, which is also responsible for developing and implementing economic and financial policies for the country. Many central banks across the world tend to treat Canadian Dollars a reserve currency. During the boom phase for technology in the 1990s that was fixed on United States - a significant dip was noticed in Canadian Dollar vis-à-vis the US Dollar. Since then it has positioned itself strongly in the international foreign exchange markets where trading happens.

Canadian dollar has seen a significant and continuous growth in value, mainly owing to prices of crude oil (of which it is amongst the biggest exporters), and a few other commodities.

Canada’s biggest business partner happens to be its neighbouring country United States of America. If market witnesses rise in oil prices, America and other countries importing oil from Canada end up paying more, and as a result value of Canadian dollar strengthens.

Canadian dollar saw a great high in the year 2007 for several reasons. One, the price of oil and its demand went up, and two, US dollar saw losing some of its sheen in the exchange market.

The Canadian dollar is often labelled as a fluctuating currency and therefore the country constantly needs to fight against it and maintain a stable economic growth rate. Because stability will help to keep up CAD’s demand and attract investors and giving them healthy economic returns.

Even though the Canadian Dollar is inclined to move along US Dollar when we are talking about the global markets, the Canadian Dollar is believed to be more firm than the USD. The rapid escalation of the Canadian Dollar lifts up the price of Canadian exports to the United States, which makes up a big part of the economy. With the increase in the value of Canadian Dollar, it becomes rather simple for the commerce within Canada circles when it comes to buying foreign material.

About USD CAD and How to Trade the Pair

USD CAD is an abbreviation for the U.S. dollar and Canadian dollar currency pair. It’s also called a cross pair. This USD CAD pair is indicative of the fact that how many Canadian dollars will be required for a trader to be able to buy one U.S. dollar. USD CAD, where USD appears in the beginning is called the base currency, while CAD that appears as a second or consecutive currency is known as the base currency.

The exchange rate of USD CAD pair gets influenced by factors which may effect either of the two countries - in conjunction with other core currencies, amongst each other, and independent of each other.

Second, while the currencies are being measured against each other, the existing rate of interest with reference to the Federal Reserve & Bank of Canada also controls the value of these currencies. Also when Federal Reserved is mediating, it is only with an aim to strengthen the value of USD.

Third, both the US and Canadian economy are closely linked and both currencies demonstrate a certain correlation with each other. CAD enjoys a positive correlation with respect to crude oil. Likewise any major announcements in US that are likely to impact US economy will impact USD CAD pair too.

Likewise USD CAD shares unfavourable correlation with pairs such as the Australian Dollar/ United States Dollar; Sterling Pound/US Dollar; & NZD/United States Dollar. The reason is - that one of the components in all the above mentioned pairs happens to be United States Dollar.

Traders trading USD CAD should ideally keep a watch on various aspects of both sides of market, the US as well as Canadian.

Trader keeping a watch on Canadian market and its economy with a view to identify, enter and exit the right trades to be able to book profits, should keep abreast of issues like International Merchandise Trade; Quarterly Gross Domestic Product Quarterly; Ivey Purchasing Managers Index; Leading Indicators; Consumer Price Index; Retail Sales; Bank of Canada Rate Decision; Bank of Canada Governor Speaks; & Rate of change in unemployment and employment.

And when the trader is keeping a watch over US market s/he should keep a her/ his mind and eyes glued to Employment vis-à-vis Non Farm Payrolls along with Rate of Unemployment; Rate Decision in relation with FOMC; Trade Balance; Total Balance in Current Account; PPI or Producer Price Index; Goods Orders (Durable); Retail Sales Advance; any kind of public announcements done by Federal Reserve President; Net of Purchases related to Foreign Security; GDP; Confidence of the End User or Consumer; ISM Manufacturing; Phil Fed Survey; Univ. of Michigan CSI, i.e. Consumer Sentiment Index; Consumer Price Index.

The price of oil does not only affect the economy in a big way abut also at a micro level because of the way it is used. Oil price fluctuations could occur as a result of economic, geographical, or/and natural conditions.

In case of the US and Canada, oil has many a times proved to be the biggest driver of the economies.

Canada has huge oil reserves and happens to be a big oil exporter worldwide. Whereas the US is a big oil consumer, and meets most of its oil requirement through Canada. This makes the economies of the two countries closely interlinked.

Past few years have witnessed a peculiar situation in USD CAD pair vis-à-vis oil prices. It’s called the Inverse Correlation. Going by the theory, when there is a rise in prices of oil; drop is seen in the rate of US Dollar against Canadian Dollar. This makes the long USD CAD trade the perfect safe guard against the rising price of oil.

In future if for some reason oil prices fall, then Canadian economy will get hit badly. As a result of falling economy the Canadian dollar will weaken against the US dollar’s value which will go on an improving spree. Falling oil prices will benefit the US economy.

As oil prices are falling, even though oil is priced in US dollars, the currency will not suffer because majority of central banks have USD as reserve. This is the precise reason why the US dollar does not impact on the profit straight when oil prices are rising.

Trading the US dollar/Canadian dollar At the End of Every Month

It will benefit traders to know that United States of America is one of the largest consumers and importers of products supplied by and manufactured in Canada. America imports crude oil, building material et al. This kind of merchandise totals up to a few thousand dollars and more are paid when the month is nearing its end. Meaning at the close of every month these dues are settled. To be date precise the accounts for these imported products are closed and paid in full or part as agreed between the twenty third and twenty eighth of every month. And each and every end of a month, during such a time Canadian dollars have a peculiar tendency to rise against the US dollars for a simple reason that this is the time span when the US will be required to buy Canadian dollars to be able to make payments for those products that they have got from Canada. When a country buys another country’s’ currency in bulk, the value of the country’s’ currency from which it is bought will go up, in our case it is Canadian currency.

Whose value will rise since America would be buying this currency in bulk to be able to pay them for the imports.

What a trader should do is learn to identify solid technical ground and enter a SHORT position on the pair to take advantage of this kind of situation. Such a rally in general comes and goes within two days.

As trader observes the first +100pips, he should go ahead and book some profits, and then let the rally continue. And this tip can be used not just with USD CAD pair but also with other related pairs like Canadian Dollar and Swiss Franc, Pound Sterling and Canadian Dollar, CAD/JPY, and Euro and Canadian Dollar where one of the currencies is CAD. A special note for traders who are on a losing spree and have been losing most of their trades, they should take advantage of this sturdy and elementary logic and situation and at the end of every month make free pips between the dates mentioned above.

Other details traders will require to know are as follows: USD CAD broker spread ranges between 2-4 pips; the most happening and active time to trade this pair is the US session; and the most potent and active trading hours fall between 12:00 -17:30 GMT; Average daily high and low range is 106 pips; Traders should at least have some experience on trading before they take on this pair, an absolute novice will do himself good by avoiding to trade this pair. Once he gets some exposure in real time trading with simpler pairs, he can give this pair a try; Value of one pip in USD CAD pair is variable.

Trend Trading USD CAD Pair

Oil prices have a direct and solid impact on some currencies. Two currencies that have a strong correlation to price of oil are the Canadian Dollar and GBP. When price of oil goes up, CAD goes on a rising spree for several months. It ahs been observed that oil prices trend consecutively for some months. Canada being one of the major oil exporters to the United States, official tender of Canada, CAD becomes very sensitive to any changes of price of oil.

As we know that America gets most of its required quote of oil from Canada, which helps the Canadian dollar to improve its worth in relation to the USD. This type of phenomenon suggests that the USD CAD currency pair should ideally start trending down in the situation arises when consumption of oil within the US economy rises for any reason whatsoever. Traders can take advantage of this trend trading strategy with USD CAD pair when he is able to identify and confirm the fact that demand from US for oil imports from Canada has gone up. This strategy - trend trading is based on a tool called Channel Commodity Index (CCI).

This trend trading strategy for USD CAD gets success provided there is an increase in oil prices and the exchange rate of currency pair USD CAD is nose-diving. The phenomenon will also occur at the time when oil prices are going down and the USD CAD rate is moving upwards. Let us assume that the price of oil is going up and the exchange rate for currency pair USD CAD is hitting a low. This situation is quite a possibility in the real trading world. 2008 was the year when the oil prices shot up from approximately $55-70 for every barrel to an astounding $140- $150 per barrel. This was a trend that continued to show its colors for some months at a stretch.

Traders need to keep a close watch on the time. They should mark when the fourteen period Consumer Index surpasses the 100 mark and then crosses back below 100. This is for a trader to understand that the buyers did enter the market with the hope but eventually gave up. Now this is the time pocket where one can short USD CAD. Traders should enter the short trade by placing a limit order of around say three hundred pips and a place a SL at 75 pips. It’s a 1:4 risk reward ratio and not a bad one at that plus this helps a trader as he does not get out of the market at a slight retracement.

USD CAD is a less volatile currency pair, and blends rather well with CCI indicator. The CCI, or the Consumer Confidence Index, is known to react sharply to price movement. This in turn paces up release of trading signals. And USD CAD due to its basic nature is suitable for being traded in conjunction with CCI indicator.

And when the trader is keeping a watch over US market s/he should keep a her/ his mind and eyes glued to Employment vis-à-vis Non Farm Payrolls along with Rate of Unemployment; Rate Decision in relation with FOMC; Trade Balance; Total Balance in Current Account; PPI or Producer Price Index; Goods Orders (Durable); Retail Sales Advance; any kind of public announcements done by Federal Reserve President; Net of Purchases related to Foreign Security; GDP; Confidence of the End User or Consumer; ISM Manufacturing; Phil Fed Survey; Univ. of Michigan CSI, i.e. Consumer Sentiment Index; Consumer Price Index.

Further Reading: Before leaving our website, please take a look at the other articles we have published.


fuente: http://www.forexoma.com

Live Trading Versus Demo Trading

Demo trading is a good way of starting the trading business. It helps the novice traders develop their skills and learn the trading system they choose. Demo trading is like the flight simulator for pilots. While everything is tried to be the same as the real work, there are some differences naturally.

1. Client/Trader Side Differences:

In demo trading, even if everything is the same as the real work technically, there is one thing that can hardly be the same: You know that you are trading with the demo money, and not your real hard-earned money.

This can make some big differences in the end result. When you know and you always consider that you are demo trading, you will have no or at least less fear and greed. You are not afraid of losing and you are not too greedy to make more. And this will result in having less discipline.

Having no emotion (fear and greed) is really good, but the problem is you will experience these emotions as soon as you start trading with the live account and real money. Therefore, when some traders succeed to make profit on the demo account and then they decide to switch to the live account, they start losing and this makes them surprised. Some of them try to find an excuse for their losses and the broker is the best one to be accused.

There are also some traders who accuse God. They think that God doesn’t want them to make money and they are doomed to be poor. Whereas if they analyze their trades and their behavior and emotions, they will see that they behave completely different in demo and live trading.

The first and most important thing is that you forget and you do not think that you are demo trading and it is just a fake number that goes up and down, and it is not the real money. If you are supposed to open a $1000 live account in future and when it is the time to, then do not open a $50,000 demo account. This makes your mind know that you are not trading seriously and it is just a game. Open a $1000 demo account and treat it exactly as a live account.

The other thing is that some people keep on demo trading for a long time, and will become addicted to it somehow. They spend several hours at the computer, trading the demo account and they make themselves think that they are working and they are doing something useful. Whereas because of trading on the demo account for a long time, while knowing that it is just demo, they completely ruin their discipline.

Demo trading is good, but just for a limited time to learn the trading basics, and know the trading strategy signals and trade setups. Then you must switch to a live account and start experiencing live trading. You can start with small amount of money and small lot sizes, but you have to start it sooner or later. Didn’t you start learning forex to make money? Then you should switch to live trading and see how it feels to earn/lose real money.

You should know that demo trading is not able to develop the discipline you need to trade and make money. If you keep on demo trading for several years, and then you open a small live account, you will definitely feel some different emotions when you want to take a position with your live account. The emotions that you did not have when you were demo trading. These emotions make you make some mistakes that you had become able to avoid in your demo trading journey. You feel more fear when you want to click on the buy/sell buttons, and when the market goes against your position. You also have more greed and you over-trade more.

Then, does it mean that you have to keep on demo trading and stop live trading?

No. You feel relaxed and relived when you go back to demo trading, because those emotions and the losses they caused will disappear again, and you start doing good on your demo account again. This makes you happy and you think that you are doing good, but you are not. The emotions you experience in live trading, do not exist in demo trading (or at least they are weaker and controllable), and so if you keep on demo trading, you will never become able to know and control those emotions. You have to open a live account with the money that you can afford to lose, and then start trading while you are aware of the emotions and your behavior.

Like when you started demo trading and you lost until you learned what to do, you will lose when you start live trading, but finally you will learn what to do. All successful traders have wiped out their accounts at least for a few times at the beginning. This is absolutely normal. Exactly like a kid that wants to learn to walk. He/she falls down numerous times until he/she learns to walk and run.

This is the process in forex trading and in any other business. No Pain, No Gain!

There are so many novice traders who like to make thousands of dollars through forex trading, without spending any money or without handling any loss. Some of them who find Forexoma and hear about the Forexoma trading room which is offered for free to the Forexoma live account holders, just use the chance and open a small $500 to have free access to the trading room and Forexoma robots. While these people are welcome to do this, but sooner or later they have to make themselves dare to click on the buy/sell buttons, and start experiencing live trading. With having a $500 account and not being able to trade even a 0.1 lot position, you are doing nothing but feeding your fear. There is no doubt that this method doesn’t get you anywhere and you will not become a trader finally. You think you are smart, because you have free access to the trading room and you are learning to trade and are not spending nor losing any money, but you do not consider that you are not making any money too and you are just wasting your time. If you really intend to become a trader finally, you should choose the right way.

In forex trading those who try to be too smart, lose more than the others. The biggest loss in forex trading is not losing money in your initial accounts. The biggest loss is choosing the wrong way, wasting a lot of time and then giving up on forex and losing the chance of making any money through forex trading for the rest of your life.

That is why it was finally decided to make some limitations to help this group of novice traders break the ice and start controlling their fear, or at least stop wasting their time. To give the new traders a chance to learn, they can use the trading room for a while without having any trading activity on their live accounts. However, after 2 months of account inactivity, their access to the trading room will be blocked. To have access to the trading room again, they have to have the minimum of 2 months of reasonable and normal trading activity which is an activity that shows that their accounts is opened for trading, not for having free access to the trading room or other things. The minimum of a few positions per week can be known as reasonable and normal trading activity. If the money you have deposited in your live account is all you have and is the money you can not afford to lose, then you should close your live account and forget about forex trading for now. It doesn’t work like that.

To learn forex trading, you do not have to spend any money, because there are a lot of invaluable information over the Internet for free. You just need to find the right way, follow it and finally get where you want to get. However, you will have to handle some losses when you start. And this is something you can not avoid. If you start trading with the money that you can afford to lose, your losses will help you to become a professional trader finally, because they show you your mistakes and help you avoid them.

But with keeping on demo trading for several months and years, you are doing nothing, but developing the emotions that will be your biggest enemy in your trading journey.

What should you do then? What is the solution?

1. Learn the basics of forex market, forex trading and technical analysis.
2. Choose at least a good and simple trading system and learn it properly.
3. Practice your trading system on a demo account for a few months. Learn to stick to your trading system rules.
4. Open a live account with the money that you can afford to lose, and start live trading, not for the purpose of making money, but just to be faced with the emotions that come with live trading, and to learn to know and control these emotions. Money will come only when you pass this stage. So don’t think about making money and becoming rich if you have not passed this stage yet.
5. When you became able to control your emotions in live trading and you started making money consistently, then you can top up your account and trade bigger lots. Before reaching this level, you will lose money, and you can even wipe out your account for a few times, but this is the price that you have to pay to become able to control your live trading emotions and become a profitable trader finally. This is one of the most important and necessary stages of becoming a profitable forex trader, whether you like it or not. You have to think about this stage, before you start learning forex. If you can enter this stage, then start learning forex. If you can not, you’d better not to start at all.

2. Broker Side Differences:

Demo trading is like the computer games. The numbers you see there are just numbers. You can open a $1,000,000,000.00 account and take several 1000 lots positions everyday. There is no limit and problem and the broker will handle all of your orders. Your pending, stop loss and target orders will be executed instantly and not even with a 0.01 pip difference or 0.01 second delay. Why? Because it is just some numbers on the broker’s demo servers. Demo accounts are not connected to any bank and the order you place in your demo accounts do not have to be transferred anywhere. Whereas it is a completely different story with the live accounts.

ECN/STP brokers have to transfer the orders to the banks (liquidity providers), and this makes the demo trading a little different from live trading.

On an ECN/STP platform, when you click on the buy/sell buttons or you place a pending order (including your SL and TP orders) and the market reaches the pending order price:

1. The broker has to receive your order on its server first.
2. Some ECN brokers (including Forexoma) work with several different liquidity providers. When there is an order, the system looks for a liquidity provider that is offering the best price and liquidity at that moment. Then the order has to be sent to that liquidity provider.
3. The order has to be received and approved by the liquidity provider and be placed on the line waiting for execution. Each liquidity provider may receive hundreds or thousands of orders at the same time that your order is also received. All orders have to wait on the line and become executed one by one.

Although all of the above process is done automatically and electronically, it takes time (even as low as a few milliseconds sometimes) to be done and completed, specially when there are thousands of orders received at the same time. And this required time makes the price differences.

Liquidity providers execute the orders they receive, but not with the price that we say. They execute the orders with the price that they want. You would do the same if you were a liquidity provider. Imagine, you receive a buy order at 1.5625 while there are 15000 other orders ahead waiting to be executed. When it is the time to execute this order, the market price is changed to 1.5700. If you execute the order at 1.5625 then the trader will be 75 pips in profit as soon as the position is taken, and you have to pay this profit as the liquidity provider. This is something that may happen during the news release time. Therefore, liquidity providers place the order on the line and each order will be executed with the price that the market shows at the moment of execution. That makes a lot of sense.

This explains why when you switch from demo trading to live trading with an ECN/STP broker, some of your orders are not executed exactly with the price that they were set to. You set a pending order at 1.2530, but it becomes executed at 1.2531. It is the same with the stop loss and target orders, because they are also orders that have to be executed.

With the market maker brokers it can be even worse, because they have to do something to make sure that all their clients always lose.

Therefore, you should not expect that live trading to be 100% the same as demo trading. It is LIVE and REAL  trading after all. It is not a computer game. It is not just playing with some numbers. It is REAL buying and selling on a REAL market.

That is why the scalper robots win on the demo accounts, but lose on the live accounts. It is the same for the scalper traders. Some of them become able to win on the demo accounts, but they can not repeat their success on the live accounts, first because of the new and different emotions that they experience in live trading, and second because of the different conditions that demo and live markets have. You may be able to make 1-3 pips on the demo account, but the live market conditions may not let you do it.

Does it mean that nobody can make money on the live market?

Absolutely not. There are so many trader who make money on the live market consistently. You just need to learn it.

Bottom-line:

You are here most probably because you want to make money through forex trading. This is a good idea, but if you do not know how to trade forex, you also do not know how to learn to trade forex. Most people who start trading forex lose and give up, not because forex trading is hard. But because they not only do not know how to trade, but they do not how to learn. Therefore, they try to plan it on their own. They read so many books, sign up for so many courses, read hundreds of articles, try so many different trading strategies, indicators, robots…, and finally will come to this conclusion that they can not make it work. Sadly, they never think that they are following a wrong way that merely wastes their time and money.

Here on this page, we already explained about the right way. You can join us on Forexoma Online Trading Room and complete your knowledge and experience. There are so many traders there who can show you the way and answer your questions. This is all you need to become a trader. A business that can make thousands of dollars potentially, can not be learned overnight and without spending any time and handling any loss and pain. The sooner you start passing the stages, the sooner your dreams will come true.

Also make sure to read the below articles too:

Further Reading: Before leaving our website, please take a look at the other articles we have published.


fuente: http://www.forexoma.com

domingo, 1 de enero de 2012

Fear or Greed? Which One Is Your Problem?

It is said that forex traders lose mainly because of their emotions. If you ask about the emotions that are the cause of forex traders losses, you hear the two words, fear and greed, more than any other word. When you try and lose, you may ask yourself what your problem is? Are you losing because of your fear, or it is your greed that makes you lose? Or you lose because of not having enough knowledge and experience in forex trading?
Most traders think that they lose because they have not learned enough, or the trading system, indicators or EAs they use, are not good enough. Therefore, they look for other trading systems, indicators and… and they spend a lot of time and money to try a new system every week or month. But they still lose. They lose with the same trading systems that make money for some other traders. So the problem should be somewhere else.
In fact, professional and experienced traders use very simple systems. Price chart is the only thing that most of them use, and many of them have no more than one indicator on their charts. The more experienced they became, the less number of indicators they used.
You start learning and trading forex to make money. Everybody likes to make money. Everybody HAS TO make money. It is normal to have such a desire, because we need money to survive. If not, now you had not been reading this article. You are here, because you like to make money through forex trading. Yes, you can make money through forex trading, but the tendency of making money which is necessary to start and continue, will become a problem, if not controlled. You lose more, just because you like to make more. This is something that we know as greed.
Novice traders have no fear at the beginning. Usually fear comes after a period of losing. When fear takes the control, your losses will come to your mind whenever you want to take a position. Before, you were thinking about the money that you could make. Now that fear has taken the control, you always think that you will lose again if you take another position. If you enter the market and your position goes to profit, you get out too early just because you want to get out as a winner this time. If the market goes against your position, you either get out too early because you do not want to have another big loss, or you remove the stop loss and prefer to wait until the market turns around and you get out at breakeven or at least with a small profit. You do not want to be a loser anymore.
Usually fear makes more problems for the traders. While a controlled level of greed is motivator, having fear even at the slightest possible level can cause the traders to make more mistakes or stay away from the market completely and miss the opportunities. Fear can ruin everything, both in trading and life.
Fear and discipline should not be mixed up with each other. Something that makes you wait for a strong and confirmed trade setup, and prevents you from taking a position before forming a trade setup, is called discipline. Something that makes you miss the opportunities, and prevents you from taking positions even when good trade setups are formed is fear. It makes you just sit and watch the market and take no action. The more you listen to it, the stronger it becomes. And maybe it is fear that finally makes the traders to give up and think it is impossible to make any money through forex trading.
All novice traders may experience fear and greed from time to time. A few winning positions makes them over-confident and too greedy. And a few losing positions makes them lose their confidence and stay away from the market. This cycle can be repeated several times, until you finally give up, or become able to come to the balance and control your emotions. The point is you should be aware of your situation. If you feel over-confident, you should analyze yourself and find the reason. If you are fearful, you should be able to balance yourself before losing your interest and missing the opportunities.
It takes time. You should start and keep going
Further Reading: Before leaving our website, please take a look at the other articles we have published.
fuente: http://www.forexoma.com

GBP JPY - British Pound Japanese Yen

GBP JPY denotes currency pair British Pound & Japanese Yen. This pair is referred as “Sterling Yen” by traders. This shorthand detail or notation makes use of the ISO 4217 standard codes to indicate the foreign exchange rate of the United Kingdom’s Pound Sterling versus Japanese Yen.

The most outstanding feature of this pair as observed by experienced traders is that, no other pair displays so much volume during Asian Session as the GBP JPY does. This indicates that traders who find Asian Market time zone comfortable and convenient can take the liberty of taking chances with this pair.  GBP JPY, because of its sheer volatility happens to be a preferred pair for a short term trader.

GBP JPY Currency Cross Basic

It can’t be emphasized enough that no currency pair offers more action than the GBP JPY cross pair does.  To the extent that on some days it has been seen to move up to 300 pips within a day which as most traders would agree is no mean feat. So traders looking for some thrill in trading by juggling the volatility, this is their pair. GBP JPY belongs to volatile pairs group.

It is easy to trade GBP JPY in any economic environment. GBP JPY trading is preferred over several other pairs for a simple reason that it helps to reduce portfolio risk by providing the scope for booking profits in both types of market situations - rising and falling market conditions. Often, when the GBYJPY appreciates it affects other cross rates such as that of USDJPY.

GBP JPY – History of the Pair

From 2000 till 2007, when it came to fluctuations GBP JPY (Sterling Yen) and GBPEUR Pound Sterling and Euro – both pairs were seen to share similarities in several ways - barring the strong volatility comprising important monthly variations of the exchange values of the GBP JPY cross which were likely to occur because of direct interventions by the Bank of Japan with an objective of keeping the Yen within control.

During this 7 year period, the Pound sterling strengthened in value against the Yen, because of its strong foundations comprising the monetary policy along with superior interest rates that applied in Great Britain more than in Japan. This was also the time period during which British economy was getting stronger and gaining strength.

In this market environment, traders found a way to trade. They cashed on carry trade method by playing long on the Pound (the currency bought when interest rates were favourable) and by going short on yen. This strategy crashed in 2007 owing to the what was called as the subprime crisis.

During same time Bank of England’s interest rates too crashed and continued to go downhill until 2008.  It was during this time that similarities between the GBP JPY and GBPUSD currency pairs were seen, especially vis-à-vis price volatility.

In September 2000 the exchange value GBP JPY was 150, the GBP JPY cross did show an upsurge which continued to improve at a steady pace for 4 years in spite of the strong monthly weekly movement in the market until the time when the value GBP JPY showed 206,88 – which was during March 2004.

These movements and volatility continued to appear and disappear until September 2005 when GBP JPY was valued at 199,30. This was before the Pound sterling appreciated against the Yen and went on to become more important and lasted until July 2007 when it touched its peak and the GBP JPY was at its high of 248.

Associated with the adverse situation being observed against the dollar and the Euro,  Pound’s decline began, a trend which finally made the currency cross reach  200 during March in the following year, that is, 2008 before breakdown was experienced that some people in the trading initially read as a signal pointing to a road leading to recovery.

This lasted until February 2009 and GBP JPY hit 132, its value reduced by almost 46% within a span of 18 months.  The Pound sterling won the battle over Yen and GBP JPY touched160 during 2009 summer. However an alteration took place not only with Japanese currency but also against the US Currency dollar and the Euro and the GBP JPY got valued at 149,34 in the beginning of December 2009.

GBP JPY – Personality of This Currency Pair

The most prominent personality trait that will easily eclipse any other is that the GBP JPY is the most active of all the currency cross pairs capable of touching more than 270 pips or even more within a day.

Which means the profile and personality of the trader also has to be such that he is able to handle the volatility and risk associated with this pair. Traders with substantial exposure and experience only should trade this one.

Another feature of this pair lies in the spread that it offers. GBP JPY offers a spread that can range between 6 and 10, & during a normal trading day, traders can even expect to trade a range of 150-200 pips.

There are several factors that can affect exchange rate of GBP JPY pair, like interest rate variation between Bank of Japan and Bank of England; Money supply; inflation; GDP; Balance of Trade data; political disturbance; goods prices for country relying on metals, oil, farming and agriculture and other such commodities for its GDP; growth rate comparison of UK and Japan also impacts Sterling Pound/Yen pair.

The big daddy -mover and shaker of GBP JPY currency cross is oil pricing because of the fact that Japan imports 99% of its total oil consumption

Basic Requirements for Trading the GBP JPY

Trading GBP JPY pair requires application of Technical & Fundamental Analysis of news from the UK and Japanese markets respectively. GBP JPY is an extremely volatile currency cross and is not recommend for traders who are new to trading or are just starting out in the real market.

It is also a widely traded pair with more volatility on average. Private Forex traders, consider this currency pair GBP-JPY - the King because of its basic nature – which is strong to say the least, it is a pair offering sharp trading signals, wide movement scale, along with volatile, unpredictable, and explosive approach.

GBP JPY – Why is it Such a Preferred Currency Cross Amongst Traders

What makes the GBP JPY one of the most popular currency crosses is the explosive nature of its price. We may not exactly know whether it’s the MOST volatile pairs of all or not but what we definitely know that it is volatile and comes with a spread of 7.

If traders are able to get their hands on the pulse of market conditions and its consequences then they can earn a lot as the margin this pair offers is quite good.

There are several other good reasons for beginners to trade this pair;

This currency cross is widely traded, which facilitates liquidity. Liquidity or being cash rich is a fundamental requirement for any pair to be able to benefit from price changes.

GBP JPY pair boasts of spreads that may oscillate between tight & moderate which at majority of instances receives higher spread quotation from brokers in profession because of the kind of instability the pair offers because of its wider price ranges compared to other pairs.

And the final reason for traders to go for this pair is that there are many Forex trading systems and softwares that have been developed for trading this pair information about which can be easily found online.

GBP JPY is known for its extreme volatility & inclination towards large moves and ending up with 150 pips a day. There are days when the pair even moves as much as 200 pips - this means larger profit windows. However, a novice is advised to steer clear of trading this pair and not fall prey to this wide profit window temptation until he gains some real time trading experience and insight into the complexities of trading this highly volatile pair.

The pair is a good choice for traders interested in breakout trading & scalping, provided proper risk management strategies are in place and the pair is traded with extreme care.

There is ample of market information, research and analysis available for GBPUSD pair, which is another reason that makes it favorable among traders.

The GBP JPY Currency Pair – ‘In-Depth In-Sight’

When we discuss or refer to the currency pair GBP JPY, the GBP as we can notice appears as first in the set of two is called the base currency and the Japanese Yen or JPY that is the following currency in the set is the counter-or Quote currency. The pair indicates how many Yens will a trader be required to spend in order to buy one Pound Sterling. Looking at it from another angle - by selling one Pound how many yens will a trader get?

When spreads are being discussed for British PoundJPY they highly depend on quality of or number of transaction, but spreads between five to seven pips are quite commonly seen. The market in British Pound and Yen may be cash convertible, however spreads can further widen at the time of break out of some big economic announcement, or when some economic stats is brought in the open for public consumption.

GBP JPY is fourth highest traded currency pairs among the “major cross pairs” making the pair as one of the highly-traded in the market.

About Great Britain’s Pound Sterling:

Now we shall discuss GBP at length. The acronym - GBP stands for the Pound Sterling and the official symbol by which it is known worldwide is “£”.

The Japanese Yen

Let us learn about the second component of GBP JPY pair, i.e. Japanese Yen. Basics first - Japanese Yen or JPY is symbolized as “¥”. It is the official currency of Japan and is in circulation as legal tender throughout Japan since its official adoption in 1871. It’s the third highest traded currency worldwide.

Besides banknotes, Japanese Government has also issued coins in the market in the denomination of 1 Yen Aluminium Coin, 5 Yen Coin, 50 Yen Coin, 100 Yen Coin, and 500 Yen Coin.

When it comes to yen being considered a safe heaven or stable and sound currency, it is positioned in the fourth place in the world preceded by the Dollar, Euro, and Sterling.

Coming to Japanese Yen’s primary sensitivity areas – traders should know that currency’s value tends to gain advantage from global economic challenges taking Yen’s status as a reserve currency or a safe haven currency into consideration. However it can get hurt in a big way by higher or rising commodity prices. This holds especially true when it comes to oil prices, because Japan is a net importer of this important and key commodity.

Understanding & Using Currency Correlation of USDJPY

To be an effective trader, understanding how different currency pairs move in relation to each other is an important lesson. It’s called Currency Correlation in Forex language. Once the trader gets a hang of this aspect of currencies trading them becomes much more interesting. This helps him to fine-tune, and take his trading skills to new heights and depths.

This helps traders to better understand their and analyze their exposure. There are some pairs which have a tendency to move in tandem with each other, where as others may have the tendency to move in the opposite direction.

Gaining some insight and knowledge about equations related to currency correlation helps traders to manage and organize their portfolios far more effectively. Irrespective of trader’s strategy that he wants to implement to enter and exit trades, exploring scope for diversifying his positions, finding alternate pairs to be able to leverage the view are some of the things that are of vital importance that they keep the correlation between various pairs and their shifting trends in mind – while they are trading and also while they are exploring opportunities.

To take advantage of currency correlation while trading GBP JPY, it will be ideal if we understand the concept of Correlation Coefficient first. Once fundamentals are clear to the trader he will be able to trade the pair with more ease and confidence. Plus the knowledge will help herhim to trade other pairs also besides GBP JPY.

Understanding Forex Correlation Value Range

First thing for all traders to take note of is that the currency correlation coefficient varies between -1 and +1.  A correlation of +1 points to the fact that the two Forex pairs in question are going to run in the same direction at every opportunity cent percent of the time.

This phenomenon is called Positive Correlation phenomenon. Then comes next - a positive figure but less than +1 implies that the currency pairs in question generally tend to move in same direction but not always, not 100% of the time. A value nearer to +1 indicates that majority of times the pairs move in tandem or in the same direction.

Now let us discuss negative correlation phenomenon. Correlation of -1 is called negative leaning indicative of the fact that the two currency pairs will never move in the same direction. They will always move in opposite direction - 100% of the time. When the correlation is neither positive nor negative, if it is zero, then it indicates that the relationship between the currency pairs is casual and random.

Learning to Interpret the Currency Correlation Table:

0 to 0.2 points to very weak to insignificant correlation

.2 to .4 is indicative of weak, low correlation, not considered too critical

.4 to .7 is indicative of reasonable or moderate correlations

.7 to .9 Strong, high correlation

.9 to 1 is indicative of very strong correlation

Understanding and Using Currency Correlation of USDJPY for Maximum Advantage

While trading currencies it is of utmost importance for a trader to understand sensitivity of his portfolio to various market situations and sentiments to be able to control it better.

At the same time it is equally important for him to understand, that while trading currencies, he is trading them in pairs (made of two different currencies) as a single unit.

Though it may seem like he is trading a pair, i.e. one unit, technically he is placing two trades every time that he trades currency pair. He is buying one currency and selling the other at the same time.

This means that instead of viewing trading of a currency pair as a single unit, trader should get into a habit of looking at currency pairs as two separate trades.

This approach will help him to understand the connection between various currency pairs more clearly; also, how one pair impacts the value of the other and so on, which will finally have a better impact on his own portfolio.

An important tip for learners here, when a trader is comparing two currency pairs for correlation, he has total four currencies before him. He should ensure that irrespective of whether the currencies are bought or sold – one currency does not appear more than once.

By following this method, trader is creating a unique relationship which will help him gain significant insight into the relationship of the two pairs he is trading in. This comparison of Correlation can give rise to new and exciting trading opportunities as well as strategies. But to get there understanding the concept clearly is absolutely essential.

Understanding Correlation With respect to GBP JPY Pair

Let us understand the angle of mutual dependence of currencies on each other. If trader decides to trade the British pound against the Japanese yen i.e. GBP JPY, what he is actually getting into is the GBPUSD and USDJPY derivative; now when we look at it from this angle – it becomes easier to understand why GBP JPY is in a certain way correlated to sometimes both the pairs or minimum one of them.

However, traders have to bear in mind that the currencies’ mutual dependence on each other is result of their existence in pairs. Some pairs are habituated to travel in same direction, others may take the course that is just opposite; this happens due to the complex forces.

Here it does not matter which currency, or currency pair, makes the first move. zOne thing is certain - that British Pound-Japanese Yen pair moves strongly when the situation is such that Pound-Dollar and Dollar-Yen pairs on M15 bar are shown moving in same direction (the fact of the matter is that they should ideally not be doing this and should be moving in the opposite direction of each other, as they are supposed to be negatively correlated pairs).

These types of counter-correlation situations between GBPUSD currency pair & USDJPY lasts less than one M15 bar, the price of Pound-Yen currency pair moves in that same direction for another minimum additional M15 bar, with a range comparatively larger than that of the two other pairs. In such environments it’s the manual trades that have seen pretty good success.

Currency correlation is ever fluctuating so before trading the pair, traders should look up the correlation data of last few days or weeks and compare it with last year’s data. If they do not find them in sync or find no similarity between short term and long term values, then the trader should take his clue to place his/her trade.

Traders trading Pound Sterling/Yen pair using five minutes chart have observed that it succeeds barring sudden spike up or owing to breaking news. So, traders to keep away from whipsaws should avoid trading half an hour before and after breaking news.

Let us discuss some of the practical realities related to Scalping method of trading vis-à-vis GBP JPY in 1M, 5M, & 15M time frame and using Bollinger Bands indicator.

It is advised that GBP JPY is not traded on ranging, or when the market is not showing any noticeable movement.  This strategy should also not be used before any major breaking news is released. To opt for 5-10 pips is good enough.  Opening of London and closing of Japan market is the best time to use this strategy.

When this strategy is being put to use in 1M time frame the trader is required to keep a watch on the screen minute by minute, so he should either go for time based stops or loss based stops. When trader is using this strategy his/her time frames are very tight so he should ensure that his stops are also as tightly placed.

Now some tips, irrespective of which time frame trader decides to go with, he should first get the feel of this pair and trade it on demo account. Two, as observed by traders practicing this strategy on Mondays is slightly complicated so avoid this one on a Monday.  Trader at no point should ignore resistance and support levels and go by what is being indicated on larger time frames; avoid over trading.

The GBP JPY currency pair is also referred to by other names like “Geppy” “The Beast” or “The Dragon” which are equally common amongst traders.

It’s called the dragon or beast because of the Volatility that comes with it. The GBP JPY currency cross is amongst the most impulsive and volatile currency pairs in the Forex market.

For traders who want to know if there exists a pair that would teach them lessons in Forex trading quickly and fast, the answer would undoubtedly have to be the GBP JPY pair.

GBP JPY is commonly referred to as Sterling Yen among English speaking traders. In the year 2010 this pair amounted to one percent of overall Forex trading, and its volatility reached around to three hundred pips. It is a pair associated with aggressive fluctuations and volatility. So traders with experience and ready to risk some capital for bigger gains did manage to book profits during the period.

For scalpers and risk takers GBP JPY makes for a perfect pair.

Major action and fluctuations scene is witnessed at the time of breaking of economic news in the day when market is active. GBP related news is announced during the morning and 10:30 am and for Yen, the news announcements are during the evening and late evening hours.

The GBP JPY for several seasons has been influenced by carry trade trend. It is crucial for a carry trader that he understands the role interest rates play in the Forex market. He should understand that a country that offers high interest rates will draw more capital from investors seeking higher returns. As country’s interest rates rise, investment will increase, which can have a positive impact on the value of currency of that country.

For an extended period of time Japan had zero percent rate of interest. This prompted trader to sell Yen against the British Pound to earn more profits. However, once crisis hit Japan – it impacted the interest rate differential and carry trading the GBP JPY pair is not same as before.

The fall out of this was that value of yen appreciated. However this appreciation works against a country like Japan, where economy’s growth is directly linked to exports.

The GBP JPY is quoted in 4 decimal places. In some instances even in 5 decimals. The pair follows floating rate of exchange.  Rate of exchange is impacted by the law of demand and supply on the interbank currency market.

Like other central banks, the Bank of Japan also intervenes in the Fx market from time to time with the purpose of keeping its currency stable.

Whether it is to stabilize currency or encourage exports, whenever BoJ initiates any move in the Fx market like changing the interest rate or launching asset buyback program etc, sharp spikes can be noticed. This whole thing also impacts GBP JPY pair.

Coming to the British pound i.e. the GBP is the official circulating tender of England and Northern Ireland. It is the 4th highest traded currency on Forex behind the U.S. Dollar, Euro, and Yen. London being the most active Forex market, British pound was one of the components in the 13% of transactions made on the Forex in 2010.

Even during crises, when GBP touched its rock bottom, it withstood the jolt and managed to uphold its strength in terms of value, both in Forex trade as well as on international exchange.  England keeps up its effort to stick to its own currency Pound and does not seem keen to adopt the euro.

This high percentage is result of fact that USD JPY happens to be the second highly traded pair comprising 14% of total transactions in 2010. And Japan owes big part of its growth to exports.

White trading Forex irrespective of which currency pair the trading may be trading timing is a critical issue. It can make or break a trader’s day. Choosing the best time to trade is a smart way to maximize the scope for profit for every trade a trader enters into.

Professional and experienced traders, who have been in the business for a while, know this secret. They are extremely careful when it comes to choosing the timing for their trades so that they can produce the optimum profits.

It’s called to choose to trade the Power Hours. In this lesson we shall examine what gives the Power Hours their noteworthy strength. There are two words that we can use to answer this question: volume + volatility - I.e. the amount of trading and amount of movement.

When we speak of Power Hours in context of GBP JPY it refers to the time periods during which the volume as well as the volatility of the pair is at its optimum best. Big volume signifies that multiple lots of a particular currency pairs are in the market, which are either actively being bought or are being sold by traders. And hyper or frenzied volatility is the term that indicates an environment where GBP JPY pair prices are moving fast and quick.

Forex market is open 24 hours & comprises three time zones – New York, London, & Tokyo. There are specific times in each of these markets, when market is more active and therefore chances of making money are also more. These time frames in trading circles are known as Power Hours. Trading during these hours is called Power Hour Trading.

The busiest or most active times in the market are between 3 to 4am, and 8am to 12 pm, since during these two time frames - two markets are overlapping. And, since London overlaps with both Tokyo and New York at some point, it usually is the busiest time period and best time for traders to capitalize on.

Coming to days for trading - mid week is usually the busiest in terms of trading. This means, Tuesdays and Wednesdays shows better movement and activity than Mondays or Fridays, i.e. beginning or end of the week.

GBP JPY is traded during London Session 3am to 12pm ET when the pair is most active - the average range being 140 pips. In New York Session between 9am to 5pm ET is also good for the pair when the average range is 120 pips; and in Tokyo Session GBP JPY trades best between 7pm to 4am ET with average pip of 110.

If situation demands and the traders get occupied with something else during the Power Hours and cannot take advantage of it, they normally shift their focus on other trading times the next best ones, which can help them produce fair results. However, they should not expect as potent or dramatic results as they would get to experience during Power Hours.

European and the U.S. Markets, two of the biggest currency markets worldwide demonstrate high volume of transactions and price movement both of which make for finding some good trading opportunities.

Trading GBP JPY in the European session – European session is based in London. The number has made London the world’s most volatile market for trading currencies. European market connects with the Asian as well as the American sessions.

Traders should keep a close watch on the GBP JPY apart from GBPCHF to catch strong price movements since during the phase the European assets get translated into assets denominated by USD and these conversions cause to make strong price movements.

To make the most of this opportunity, traders will have to wake up early or stay up late because the European session is most active between 2 in the morning (am) and 12pm EST. The watch list for European session includes; GBP JPY, and also GBPCHF, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD.

Trading GBP JPY during the US Session: The US trading session is based in New York. And during this time the GBP JPY and USDCHF are at a high volume and volatility as in these pairs US dollars is one of the components.

American session trading tends to be hyper because both - the bond and stock markets open at this time and this is the time when foreign investors are converting their respective currencies into assets that are denominated into US Dollars.

The US session is aggressive and active from 8am to 5pm EST. The most potent currency pairs in order of their popularity are: GBP JPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, GBPCHF, and USDCAD.

There are time gaps when a trader should minimize trading and or not trade at all - the European-Asian overlap session falls under this category. Most traders during this hour are sleeping, and napping. As a result the trading volume is relatively low and trends tend to become unpredictable during sleepy or cold hours. Traders can instead start preparing for the opening of the European session. The low trade time hour runs from 2am and lasts till 4 in the morning EST.

Timing trade is a strong and important tool that traders can use to find strong price movements. Know power hours, know your currency & currency pair, and get going!

GBP JPY Trading Strategy

GBP JPY currency pair is all about large swings; however the Pound Yen pair can be brought under control using low risk and high potential trading strategy. Since there are large swings in this pair targets profits and stop losses may differ based on trade discretion.

GBP JPY is amongst the high profit generating currency pairs when it comes to Swing Trading. Swing trading is based on the primary rule of taking portion from the market as prices fluctuate throughout the market.

This type of trading is most effective on trending markets which are not too volatile. It does not however mean that a trader can’t swing trade volatile markets, but a novice might as well steer clear of it.

Swing trading works better on pairs that are not too volatile. GBP JPY however is a highly volatile pair which actually may help trader to earn a bigger profit per trade but risks associated with this pair are also substantial, some previous trading exposure will stand the trader in a better stead.

The thing you should look for when searching for a currency pair to trade is that it is not too volatile. Volatility, for some traders, is seen as a good thing. So much fluctuation makes it difficult even for an experienced trader to assess teh situation and tackle the trade within such a short span of time. Price fluctuations can happen so quickly that many a times they end up getting better and quicker off traders ability to think of a strategy and apply it.

As said earlier - both ,the risk as well as the reward ratio are big for swing trading this pair. And it is because,  this pair is so volatile that new traders avoid trading GBP JPY. It fluctuates throughout the market for almost no clear reason.

Based on where the trader lives and trades from which market, he should set alerts so that he knows as the orders get triggered. It is advised that traders try this at the most twice every night. If he experiences failure the second time, he should ideally wait until the next day to give it another try, which means you have called it a day with a 100 pips loss.

Further Reading: Before leaving our website, please take a look at the other articles we have published.


fuente: http://www.forexoma.com

Forex Tips

You could trade with various markets.But the Forex market is definitely one of the most popular options that you have here. With the Forex market you can really make a killing as long as you know what you are doing of course and as long as you are Forex trading properly.

It is better to study on Forex market before taking part in.This way they are going to get all the information that they need to feel comfortable starting to make investments and really going somewhere with this, and just remember that it is probably going to be a bit confusing to you at first if this is something that you have never done before.

You could find it very difficult to know Forex market more.Sure you are going to be coming up with your own as you become a professional at this but there are a few that have proven to work very well and which you are therefore going to want to use on your own account.For one thing you are going to want to make sure that you always look at the history of the market in order to get a better idea of what investments you should be making in the future. There are always going to be certain trends that you want to watch out for and different aspects that are going to repeat themselves time and time again.

These are what you want to use to make your decisions here when you are trading on the Forex market. So that you know you have the best chances of success. Speaking to a professional or at least someone who has been trading on the market for a couple of years now is really going to be a good idea on your part and is going to ensure that you are going to do well here.

The luck is very important as well.They do not win a lot of money when they are trading on the market but as long as you are smart with the amount of investments that you are making, you will be okay and should not have any major financial issues here.

For more information on forexand forex trading, you can turn to the author.


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sábado, 31 de diciembre de 2011

Nobody can predict what the Forex market will do at any given time. The only thing you can do is to prepare yourself for many of the situations.

Browse > Home / Finance / Nobody can predict what the Forex market will do at any given time. The only thing you can do is to prepare yourself for many of the situations.

Nobody can predict what the Forex market will do at any given time. The only thing you can do is to get ready for many of the situations. Attain as much knowledge and advice as possible about the a number of ways to profit from trading and stay away from terrible errors. Go through the following article to get some good suggestions about the topic.

Forex Trading Tips

One of the biggest forex trading advice a person can give you when it comes to Forex, is understand your exit point even before you enter in a trade. Know exactly what you want to get and just how far you are willing to go to get it. Don’t get yourself in too deep because it’s difficult to get out. You may end up losing much more than you can handle which is never good and it is sometimes difficult to get back in the game once that takes place.

Never stop understanding about forex trading! New forex trading tips and tricks, strategies, advice, and tips are posted online all the time, thus check forex blogs and forums for additional information. The greater your knowledge and understanding of the forces at work in currency markets, the easier you’ll find selecting new trades will be.

Forex trading forums can be extremely beneficial when you are searching for initial details about buying, selling, and trading in the foreign currency exchange. It can also be very helpful if you wish to have a group of people to talk about tips with and help each other earn money.

Perhaps the most skilled forex traders get lonely occasionally, that is why joining an online forex community is usually a life saver. You can talk about strategies and ideas with other investors of all talent and experience levels, share useful online resources, or get the answers to some of your most difficult queries.

Learn tips and advice from other investors, and put all these suggestions together to color a larger picture. You can learn much from other people who have already been there. Not every idea will be intended to be the game winner and earn you cash right then and there. However, those tips will gain you knowledge and all put together, you will find actual Forex trading.

One of the best strategies for Forex traders is to be in your lane. This means that, do not try and do too much or get very dangerous. Try to think of a somewhat safer trading method and follow it. Avoid making up for any lost amounts by making more aggressive trades.

Consider consulting a specialist if you are new to trading on Forex. As there is quite a lot of information on the website, it is always useful to seek help from a person who trades stocks for a living. At the minimum they can give you tips about how to save cash.

Take full advantage of these details – maybe you could save it to a document where you keep all such tips? You are sure to have discovered a couple of new things that will help you succeed in achieving success when trading on the market. Be wise and patient, and you will do well.


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viernes, 30 de diciembre de 2011

Currency Trading System – Automated Trading Signals Vs. Daily Live Trades

Browse > Home / Finance / Currency Trading System – Automated Trading Signals Vs. Daily Live Trades

If you are looking for some online Foreign exchange currency trading info, then you must continue reading this report. This report talks in regards to the fundamentals of Foreign exchange trading. Within this content articles, you can find 3 main points, they are – what’s Foreign exchange, some essential jargons and the danger assosiated in Foreign exchange trading. Soon after reading the online Forex Trading Systems info in this report, you must have a rough idea of what the Foreign exchange market is.

What is Foreign exchange?

Foreign exchange stands for FOReign EXchange. The Foreign exchange market entails the obtaining and offering of diverse currencies. Foreign exchange market has quite substantial liquidity and it’s been reported that there’s about $2 trillions dollars of transaction everyday. The Foreign exchange market is usually a very good indicator in the well being in the economic system of a country as well because the prospect in the long term financial growth.

Before 1998, the Foreign exchange market is only opened for massive players with substantial capitals like banks and corporates. Even so, soon after 1998, the Foreign exchange market is opened for everybody and now every person can tap onto this substantial liquidity market having a smaller capital. Some brokers are offering online Foreign exchange currency trading accounts with an preliminary deposit of as little as $100.

Some Standard Jargons

There are various jargons utilised within the Foreign exchange market. Even so, please usually do not be concerned about this simply because you are going to gradually choose up within the learning course of action. Some jargons are :
-Major currencies – the 8 most frequently traded currencies (SD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, NZD and AUD)
-Minor currencies – other currencies
-Base currency – the first currency in any currency pair. For example, EUR/USD rate, EUR is the quote currency.
-Quote/counter currency – the 2nd currency in any currency pair. For example, EUR/USD, USD is the quote currency.
-Pips – the smallest decimal place within the currency. As an example, if EUR/USD is one.5633, one pip signifies 0.0001. All currencies are measured in pips in Foreign exchange.
-leverage – regard this as multiplication. As an example, if a broker supplies 100x leverage, when you invest $1000, you might be basically trading in $100,000 volume. This is the wonder of Foreign exchange market, in which you’ll be able to earn lots with little income (because of leverage), but at the same time, lose lots as a consequence of substantial leverage.
Foreign exchange Indicator Application Trading Danger Management – Prevent These Dumb Mistakes

The Danger

A lot of online Foreign exchange currency trading info that you discover within the World wide web will inform you that Foreign exchange has quite reduced danger. This is certainly accurate simply because Foreign exchange market has quite substantial liquidity. Should you invest meticulously and has good patience, you’ll be able to certainly profit within the long run. Most people adopt the method of obtaining in the day reduced and wait for the value to raise, or offering in the day substantial and wai for the value to fall. Provided that you might be patient and is smart adequate, you must be capable of see profit within the long run. Free Forex Trading Software


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